Race of the Day: 2024 Pegasus World Cup Analysis

To be completely candid with all of you, I’m not a huge fan of the Pegasus World Cup. I enjoyed it in the very early days, when it boasted a $12 million purse and innovative invitation system. The very first running in 2017 was a Breeders’ Cup Classic rematch between Arrogate and California Chrome, and I genuinely thought I was witnessing the beginning of a storied horse racing tradition.

But it’s 2024 now, and it’s still very cold in January. And instead of Arrogate and California Chrome, I have to watch the 12 best dirt horses in the country that didn’t retire at the end of 2023. Only one of them has a G1 stakes win. As for the international flavor of this World Cup race, O’Connor was bred in Chile and came to the United States in late 2022. That’s it. read more

Race of the Day: 2023 Pegasus World Cup Analysis

In its seventh year as the premier horse racing event… in January, the Pegasus World Cup hasn’t exactly captured the imagination of horsemen, nor has it appealed much to fans. The 1 ⅛-mile race on the dirt at Gulfstream Park doesn’t typically attract international stars as the race’s title would suggest and a purse decrease in 2020 hasn’t helped matters.

But though the fields for the invitational have suffered in terms of quality in recent years, they have also remained large, as 12 runners typically line up regardless of the circumstances. After a 2022 season in which nearly every American star of the sport retired, this year’s Pegasus field lacks a killer and could therefore provide value. read more

Road to the Derby: Florida Derby Analysis

Racing fans cannot reach the first Saturday in May without first going through the first Saturday in April. Later today, three Kentucky Derby preps will be contested in three different states within the span of one hour. 

In this trio of future-defining contests, the G1 Florida Derby is the most competitive, with talented runners from Tampa Bay Downs and Gulfstream converging in the state’s biggest race for three-year-olds. If you can’t tell, it’s an exciting day for me.

This year’s running of the Florida Derby seems to come down to a pair of familiar foes, White Abarrio and Simplification. Though the two squared off in the G3 Holy Bull back in February, Simplification suffered a poor start that day and could only rally for second as White Abarrio cruised to an easy victory. Simplification came back with a strong victory in the G2 Fountain of Youth, but White Abarrio has not raced since.  read more

Road to the Derby: Fountain of Youth Stakes Analysis

Though the New York contingent is stepping up its game, the 2022 running of the Fountain of Youth is still probably the most competitive Derby prep this weekend. There are plenty of runners coming out of allowance competition while the others are either coming off of long layoffs or recovering from them. There’s a lot to like here.

As a prep to the Florida Derby, this is a very helpful race, but since 2000, only one winner of the Fountain of Youth has gone on to win the Kentucky Derby (Orb in 2013). I’m not sure if the winner of this year’s Derby is in these ranks, but they won’t get there if they don’t get out of the starting gate in March. read more

Road to the Derby: Holy Bull Stakes Analysis

Those who have known about Holy Bull since the 1990s will have to forgive me for discovering him during the pandemic. I knew his name before then, of course, but I didn’t look into his career in earnest until I literally had all the time in the world. When I watched his races, I saw a prototype for racing as I understand it today. I was amazed.

Before Mike Smith was a jockey to the stars, he was the jockey to this star, a powerful speedball that dared the competition to catch him. His Travers win was one of the gutsiest a racing fan could ever hope for, and Durkin’s call that day could not have been improved upon by any writer. But there were flaws in the Bull’s career too.  read more

Gulfstream Analysis: Saturday, January 23, 2021

It’s 8:30 in the morning as I put the finishing touches on this piece, and anyone that’s interacted with me over the past few months knows that this is the earliest I’ve been awake since Thanksgiving. Waking up is difficult when there’s nothing going on, but when there’s racing to write about, I’m suddenly the early bird in Oceanside again.