Tag: Breeders’ Cup Saturday

Lucas Ludgate is a man of precision, and doesn’t need to bandy words forever to make his selections for the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. Originally scheduled to have a partner for this race, he will now brave the rabid Paddy’s Picks readership without alone for the first time in his career as a contributor.

Race 8

Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) for Three-Year-Olds and Upward, Six Furlongs on the Dirt

Lucas Ludgate

Race has a ton of early speed horses (makes sense for a sprint). Best speed horse by far is the 2, Jackie’s Warrior. Other horses with a chance are the 9, Dr. Schivel (second best speed horse), and the 5, Aloha West, who best race in a sprint as a chaser while bringing back the same jockey. There’s some concern he performs better at 7f than 6f though. The 4, Matera Sky, feels like he’s better than his odds, but I don’t know how to read foreign sheets. read more

The Breeders’ Cup Sprint is no less predictable than the other dirt race preceding it on this championship card. Just as Gamine and Life Is Good project to be easy winners earlier in the day, this race only figures to be competitive if Jackie’s Warrior falls over. 

Race 8

Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) for Three-Year-Olds and Upward, Six Furlongs on the Dirt

1- Following Sea

1 ⅛ miles in the G1 Haskell was ambitious and ultimately ill-advised from a racing standpoint, but this colt is clearly a promising sprinter. One can excuse a convincing defeat to fellow runner Jackie’s Warrior in the G1 Allen Jerkens, as he was rounding back into form. His performance in the G2 Vosburgh was excellent, but he got the lead to himself that day and never looked back. This isn’t new for the colt, as he clearly feels more comfortable vying for the early lead. With Jackie’s Warrior back alongside him in the starting gate, he may have to settle for a trip off the pace once more, which could hurt his chances as it did back in August. read more

The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is one of my favorite races every year, and was actually one of my first big scores when Caleb’s Posse won the race in 2011. This year’s running doesn’t look nearly as profitable, however.

Besides an emphatic favorite, there are some very talented runners in the field, including a a few rising stars in the division. But to argue against Life Is Good seems pretty futile, and I don’t intend on doing so.

Race 6

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) for Three-Year-Olds and Upward, One Mile on the Dirt read more

My two prize pupils team up here for some solid analysis of the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf. I’ve been a fan of Emma for as long as I’ve known her, and ever since Niko drunkenly fell out of that bush and asked me for change all those years ago, he’s been a steadfast friend as well.

Race 7

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1) for Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward, 1 ⅜ Miles on the Turf

1- Going to Vegas

Niko:  I don’t hate Going to Vegas because of the jockey trainer combo. My concern with this horse is that’s she’s only raced at this distance once. It was a year ago, but it was one of her slower races. Now, she’s gotten better since that point, but can she race this well at that distance? read more

Race 7

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1) for Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward, 1 ⅜ Miles on the Turf

1- Going to Vegas

She’s now a G1 stakes winner and seems to be rounding into form at the right time, but I have serious doubts about the quality of the field she wired in the Rodeo Drive last time out. Her best chance here is to run this field off their feet, which actually doesn’t seem impossible but is also less likely than it was last time out. 

2- Pocket Square (GB)

Beyond the name recognition of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz, issues abound for this runner. She seems a step slow against these and lacks significant class as an overqualified G3 winner last time out. Moreover, she rarely stretches out in distance and her one attempt at 1 5/16 miles in Europe last year was discouraging. There are better options. read more

Two retired high school baseball players. Two talented writers with a roughly equivalent passion for The Fordham Observer. Two quirky people with their fair share of misadventures. One Big Ass horse race. Buckle in folks.

Race 6

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) for Three-Year-Olds and Upward, One Mile on the Dirt

George McKnight

Hi all. It’s been quite some time since my last feature on the Paddy’s Picks blog. I’m glad to be back covering the Breeder’s Cup. I’m analyzing the Big Ass Fans Dirt Mile. Not the greatest name, but what can you do? Anyway, the post time of this race is 4:19 on Saturday, Nov. 6. Eight horses three years and older are posted to compete for a million dollar purse.  read more

From my mother, Joan Moquin: It’s that time of year again when the air turns crisp, Belmont weather requires a jacket and hot toddy to endure the day’s card and all eyes turn to sunny California for the Breeder’s Cup.

From my sister, Emma Moquin: Very curious. I put Bella Sofia on top for that race, which is a hot take, but I couldn’t pick Gamine for the 1000th time in my life.

Race 4

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint for Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward, Seven Furlongs on the Dirt read more

Race 5

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1) for Three-Year-Olds and Upward, Five Furlongs on the Turf

1- Glass Slippers (GB)

The reigning champion in this race has been a little flat in 2021, finishing third in three races in Europe. Trainer Kevin Ryan gave her a similar schedule to the one from 2020 to prepare her, but she hasn’t been nearly as sharp. Her win last year was more a result of fortunate circumstances than her ability, and she’s an easy one to fade this time around.

2- Emaraaty Ana (GB)

My technique in Breeders’ Cup races is to find a runner rounding into condition, and this gelding seems razor sharp. His most recent performance in the Betfair Sprint Cup was his first G1 win and he won it with a career-best 120 Timeform Rating. He seems a little more comfortable at six furlongs but has also been very effective at five. I would love to know how she handles turns, but the fact that that’s the primary concern is an encouraging sign. read more

Any real reader of Paddy’s Picks can predict the direction that I’m going in for this one. But stick around anyway; I’ve been told that I’m at my most entertaining when I’m not trying to be. I won’t even take up too much of your time — there’s not much to go over here.

Reigning champion Gamine has managed to scare away most of her competition, and if she loses, nearly every multi-race bet in the country will collapse on the first leg. For those seeking value, it’s probably best to skip this one and watch. read more