Race 12
Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) for Three-Year-Olds and Upward, 1 ¼ Miles on the Dirt
1- Tacitus
Emma: Tacitus has an excellent jockey-trainer combo with Jose Ortiz and Mott. This horse has the necessary speed figures and has them at a pretty consistent rate. He has lost to Global Campaign. By My Standards, and Maximum Security (twice). He has pretty good workouts, but Tacitus is a classic lead horse. If he doesn’t get the lead to himself, he is bound to fade. I don’t believe he will win.
Lucas: very good
I think my guests have this one cornered. Tacitus is a very good horse, but he doesn’t often deliver on the biggest stages. When there’s an equally talented horse running against him, he doesn’t often have the heart to put them away. In this race, there are several that are plainly superior to him, and improvement is unlikely.